文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：危险性林木新病原康沃尔疫霉对我国的风险分析

英文题名：Risk analysis of Phytophthora kernoviae,a dangerous new forest pathogens in China

作者：淮稳霞[1] 赵文霞[1] 姚艳霞[1] 张敏[2]

第一作者：淮稳霞

机构：[1]中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所;[2]核工业计算机应用研究所

年份：2011

卷号：25

期号：5

起止页码：50-54

中文期刊名：植物检疫

外文期刊名：Plant Quarantine

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2008】；

基金：中国林科院森林生态环境与保护研究所所长基金项目(CAFR2F200712);国家林业局948项目(2009-4-35)

语种：中文

中文关键词：风险性;适生区;康沃尔疫霉;MAXENT

外文关键词：risk; potential distribution ; Phytophthora kernoviae ; MAXENT

分类号：S41

摘要：从传入和定殖可能性两方面分析了康沃尔疫霉(Phytophthora kernoviae)的风险性,并利用MAXENT生态位模型预测了其在我国的潜在适生区。结果表明:康沃尔疫霉(P.kernoviae)传入我国及其在我国南方沿海地区定殖具有高风险性,主要包括海南、广西、广东、福建、云南、台湾等省区,尤其花卉进出口基地云南省;上述地区应加强康沃尔疫霉(P.kernoviae)的检疫工作,实行严格的风险管理。
The risk of Phytophthora kernoviae was analyzed from the aspects of the introduction of the pathogen, population colonization. MAXENT ecological niche models was used to predict the potential geographic distribution of P. kernoviae in China. The results showed that the potential geographic distribution of P. kernoviae is expected to be constricted in south coast areas of China, such as Yunnan, Taiwan, Hainan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian provinces. Particularly Yunnan, the main import and export base of flowers, nursery stock of China. Consequently strong quarantine program and strict risk management is needed at these areas to prevent the pest from being introduced to China.