文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：Incorporating site suitability and carbon sequestration of tree species into China's climate-adaptive forestation

英文题名：面向碳中和的气候适应性造林:树种-立地优化方法的突破

作者：Meinan Zhang[1] Shirong Liu[1] Xiangzhong Luo[2] Trevor F.Keenan[3,4] Liyong Fu[5] Chiwei Xiao[6] Yao Zhang[7] Peng Gong[8]

第一作者：张美男

机构：[1]Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Environment of National Forestry and Grassland Administration,Ecology and Nature Conservation Institute,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,China;[2]Department of Geography,National University of Singapore,Singapore,117568,Singapore;[3]Department of Environmental Science,Policy and Management,University of California,Berkeley,CA 94720,USA;[4]Earth and Environmental Science Area,Lawrence Berkeley National Lab,Berkeley,CA 94720,USA;[5]Institute of Forest Resource Information Techniques,Chinese Academy of Forestry,Beijing 100091,China;[6]Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China;[7]College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;[8]Institute for Climate and Carbon Neutrality,Department of Geography and Department of Earth Sciences,University of Hong Kong,Hong Kong 999077,China

年份：2025

卷号：70

期号：11

起止页码：1834-1845

中文期刊名：Science Bulletin

外文期刊名：科学通报(英文版)

基金：supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFD2200405);support from a NASA GEDI award(#80NSSC24K0600);a NASA Carbon Cycle award(#80NSSC21K1705)。

语种：英文

中文关键词：Climate-adaptive forestation;Tree species selection;Site suitability;Carbon sequestration;Range shift

分类号：S718.5

摘要：Strategic selection and precise matching of climate-resilient tree species are crucial for maximizing the mitigation and adaptation potential of Climate-Smart Forestry.However,current forestation plans often overlook species-specific environmental shifts,leading to suboptimal long-term carbon sequestration.Here we developed a climate-adaptive optimization framework to guide tree species selection and planting in China,based on projected habitat suitability and range shifts under future climate scenarios.Utilizing over 200,000 tree records from China’s National Forest Inventory(1999-2018),we quantified habitat suitability declines of 12.1%-42.9%for currently dominant plantation species by 2060 due to climate change.By optimizing species-site matching and strategically harvesting timber at peak carbon uptake,we identified 43.2 million hectares suitable for climate-resilient forestation between 2025 and 2060,enabling the planting of approximately 46 billion climate-adapted trees with a total sequestration potential of 3822.6 Tg of carbon-a 28.7%increase compared to unmanaged scenarios.Our study highlights the importance of optimizing adaptive forestation strategies to enhance carbon sequestration under future climate conditions,providing technical guidance for climate-resilient forest management in support of China’s net-zero commitment.