文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Habitat suitability modeling of a nearly extinct rosewood species (Dalbergia odorifera) under current, and future climate conditions

作者：Lai, Jiuxin[1] Fan, Minliang[1] Liu, Yu[2] Huang, Ping[2] Gaisberger, Hannes[3,4] Li, Changhong[2] Zheng, Yongqi[2] Lin, Furong[2]

第一作者：Lai, Jiuxin

通信作者：Lin, FR[1]

机构：[1]Zhejiang Acad Forestry, Coll Environm, Hangzhou 310032, Peoples R China;[2]Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm,Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China;[3]Alliance Biovers Int & CIAT, Via San Domen 1, I-00153 Rome, Italy;[4]Paris Lodron Univ Salzburg, Dept Geoinformat, Kapitelgasse 4-6, A-5020 Salzburg, Austria

年份：2025

卷号：36

期号：1

外文期刊名：JOURNAL OF FORESTRY RESEARCH

收录：;EI(收录号：20251818353406);Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-105003979875);WOS:【SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:001479942800001)】；

基金：Thanks to Fritz kleinschroth who provided manuscript reading, and many thanks to Fidel Chiriboga for helping analyze teaching during the research. Thanks to CVH (http://www.cvh.org.cn/) and GBIF (https://www.gbif.org) for providing the records of D. odorifera and records of distribution maps.

语种：英文

外文关键词：Climate change; Dalbergia odorifera; Habitat suitability; Model tunning; Forest conservation

摘要：The influence of global climate change on endangered species is of growing concern, especially for rosewood species that are in urgent need of protection and restoration. Ecological niche models are commonly used to evaluate probable species' distribution under climate change and contribute to decision-making to define efficient management strategies. A model was developed to forecast which habitat was most likely appropriate for the Dalbergia odorifera. We screened the main climatic variables that describe the current geographic distribution of the species based on maximum entropy modelling (Maxent). We subsequently assessed its potential future distribution under moderate (RCP2.6) and severe (RCP8.5) climate change scenarios for the years 2050 and 2070. The precipitation ranges of the wettest month and the warmest quarter are the primary limiting factors for the current distribution of D. odorifera among the climatic predictors. Climate change will be expected to have beneficial effects on the distribution range of D. odorifera. In conclusion, the main limits for the distribution of D. odorifera are determined by the level of precipitation and human activities. The results of this study indicate that the coasts of southern China and Chongqing will play a key role in the protection and restoration of D. odorifera in the future.