文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Estimating the distribution characters of Larix kaempferi in response to climate change

作者：Wu, Chunyan[1,2] Shen, Jiapeng[1,2] Chen, Dongsheng[1,2] Du, Chaoqun[3] Sun, Xiaomei[1,2] Zhang, Shougong[1,2]

第一作者：吴春燕

通信作者：Zhang, SG[1];Zhang, SG[2]

机构：[1]Chinese Acad Forestry, State Key Lab Tree Genet & Breeding, Key Lab Tree Breeding & Cultivat, State Forestry Adm, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;[2]Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;[3]Hubei Acad Forestry, Wuhan 430075, Hubei, Peoples R China

年份：2020

卷号：13

期号：6

起止页码：499-506

外文期刊名：IFOREST-BIOGEOSCIENCES AND FORESTRY

收录：;Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-85094956302);WOS:【SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:000594247500001)】；

基金：We would like to thank all the researchers who made their data available for this study. This research was funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFD0600401).

语种：英文

外文关键词：Suitable Distribution Areas; Maxent Model; Environmental Variable; RCPs; Cultivation and Management

摘要：A better understanding of the distribution of suitable habitats of Larix kaempferi and its environmental constraints is crucial to know how global climate change will affect its growth and future dynamics. We simulated global suitable distribution areas of L. kaempferi under current and future climates, using different representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios, to evaluate the main factors affecting its geographical distribution. The results showed that under current climate conditions the suitable distribution areas of L. kaempferi are concentrated in Europe and Asia, followed by North America. The "Germany-Sweden-Britain" (19.42% of the total worldwide area) and "China-Japan-North Korea" (43.11%) regions are the cores for L. kaempferi distribution. The suitable distribution area for L. kaempferi is large in China (33.75% of the total area). The suitable distribution areas in Asia, Europe, and China decreased and shifted northward in the RCP scenarios. The main climatic factors affecting the distribution of L. kaempferi were the annual mean temperature, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, annual mean precipitation, and precipitation in the driest month. L. kaempferi could adapt or move to higher latitudes/altitudes to cope with climate change. Our results contribute to the introduction, cultivation, and management of L. kaempferi and potentially of other deciduous gymnosperms.