文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：松突圆蚧在我国潜在的适生性分析

英文题名：Potential Suitability Analysis of Hemiberlesia pitysophila Takagi in China

作者：冯益明[1] 梁军[2] 吕全[2] 张星耀[2]

机构：[1]中国林业科学研究院资源信息研究所;[2]中国林业科学研究院森林生态环境与保护研究所

年份：2009

卷号：22

期号：4

起止页码：563-567

中文期刊名：林业科学研究

外文期刊名：Forest Research

收录：CSTPCD;;Scopus;北大核心:【北大核心2008】；CSCD:【CSCD2011_2012】；

基金：国家"十一五"科技支撑课题(2006BAD08A15;2006BAD08A19102)资助

语种：中文

中文关键词：松突圆蚧;风险分析;Maxent生态位模型;地理信息系统

外文关键词：Hemiberlesia pitysophila; risk analysis; Maxent ecological niche models; geographical information system

分类号：S763

摘要：松突圆蚧已给我国林业生态环境带来了极大破坏,并造成严重的经济损失。本文选用Maxent生态位模型与地理信息系统相结合,综合分析影响松突圆蚧生长发育的环境因素,结合寄主分布特征,非常直观定量地获得了松突圆蚧在我国的潜在发生区,计算结果经ROC曲线分析法验证,Maxent生态位模型的AUC值为0.991(非常接近于1),表明预测获得了较好的效果,研究可为松突圆蚧的检疫及防治决策的制定提供科学依据。
Hemiberlesia pitysophila caused destructive disaster loss in China. Ecological environment factors affecting its characteristics of plant autoeciousness of Hemiberlesia for forest ecological environment and huge economic growth Maxent ecological niche models with geographical information system and development and the spatial distribution were comprehensively analyzed by combining technique in this paper. The relatively exactly potential distribution region of Hemiberlesia pitysophila in whole China was obtained quantitatively and intuitively. The checked result conducted by ROC curve analysis method showed that the AUC value of Maxent ecological niche models reached 0. 991 （ very close to 1 ）, indicating that the predicted results was fairly well. This study would provide scientific proofs for making the policies on the quarantine, the prevention and the control of Hemiberlesia pitysophila.