文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Does the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Promote Forest Product Exports? Evidence on Bilateral Export Performance from China

作者：Zhang, Xi[1] Han, Shufan[2] Zheng, Xiuxiu[2] Chen, Yong[1]

第一作者：张曦

通信作者：Han, SF[1]

机构：[1]Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry Policy & Informat, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;[2]Univ Int Business & Econ, Res Inst Global Value Chains, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China

年份：2025

卷号：16

期号：1

外文期刊名：FORESTS

收录：;EI(收录号：20250417763287);Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-85216034639);WOS:【SCI-EXPANDED(收录号:WOS:001404090400001)】；

基金：Xi Zhang acknowledges the support of the project "Research and Development Fund Project" from the Research Institute of Forestry Policy and Information, Chinese Academy of Forestry (500103-6032). Xiuxiu Zheng acknowledges the support of the project "Firms' Export Market Adjustment and Innovation Performance Under the Influence of Technical Barriers to Trade: Theoretical Mechanism and Evidence from China" from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72403039), the project "The Impact of Trade Barrier Risks on Trade, Mechanisms, and Response Strategies (Subproject 2)" from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (72341010), the "111 Project" from the Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China (B18014), the "Philosophy and Social Sciences Laboratories" program from the Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China, and the " Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities" from the UIBE (22QD28).

语种：英文

外文关键词：forest products; Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership; export; time-varying Difference-in-Differences model

摘要：This study examines the quarterly export data of forest products at the Harmonized System 6-digit level from China ' s 31 provinces to destination economies from 2017 to 2023 to examine the impact of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreement on bilateral forest product trade. A time-varying Difference-in-Differences model is constructed using the effective dates of the agreement for each member, combined with the Propensity Score Matching method, comparing export flows between China with member and non-member economies in the pre- and post-agreement periods. The main findings indicate that the effective commitments of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership in destination economies have significantly enhanced the bilateral exports of forest products from China's provinces. Compared with non-member destination economies, China's exports of timber forest products to member countries increased by over 22% after the agreement came into effect, with notable increases in eastern coastal provinces and in processed forest products including wooden furniture and paper products. To maximize the promotion of forest product exports under this framework, it is suggested that China enhance transportation links between its central and western inland provinces to reduce transportation costs. Additionally, closer trade cooperation among member countries is recommended to facilitate the development of trade in intermediate products. Furthermore, the strengthened collaboration between upstream and downstream industries could facilitate the integrated development of the regional timber processing industry supply chain.