文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：基于Maxent与GIS的锈色棕榈象在中国潜在的适生性分析

英文题名：Potential Suitability Analysis of Rhychophorus ferrugineus (Olvier) in China Based on Maxtent and GIS

作者：冯益明[1] 刘洪霞[2]

第一作者：冯益明

机构：[1]中国林业科学研究院荒漠化研究所;[2]中国农业科学研究院农业信息研究所

年份：2010

卷号：29

期号：5

起止页码：552-556

中文期刊名：华中农业大学学报

外文期刊名：Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2008】；CSCD:【CSCD2011_2012】；

基金：国家"十一五"科技支撑项目(2006BAD08A15;2006BAD08A19102)资助

语种：中文

中文关键词：锈色棕榈象;适生性分析;Maxent生态位模型;地理信息系统(GIS)

外文关键词：Rhychophorus ferrugineus（Olvier）; suitability analysis; Maxent ecological niche models; geographic information system（GIS）

分类号：S431.9;S763.38

摘要：选用Maxent生态位模型与地理信息系统(GIS)相结合,综合分析影响锈色棕榈象Rhychophorus ferrugineus(Olvier)生长发育的环境因素,结合寄主分布特征,直观定量地获得了锈色棕榈象在我国的潜在发生区,计算结果经ROC曲线分析法验证,Maxent生态位模型的AUC值为0.958(非常接近1),表明预测获得了较好的效果。
In recent years,Rhychophorus ferrugineus（Olvier）,which belongs to Curculionidae,Coleoptera,is becoming a very serious pest on coconut.Ecological environment factors affecting its growth and development were comprehensively analyzed by combining Maxent ecological niche models with geographical information system technique and the distribution features of the host plants were taken into consideration.As a result,the relatively exact potential distribution region of R.ferrugineus all over China was obtained quantitatively and intuitively.The checked result of receiver operating characteristic（ROC）curve analysis showed that the area under curve（AUC）value of Maxent ecological niche models reached 0.958（very close to 1）,indicating that the predicted results was fairly satisfactory.