文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：Ecological Transformation Analysis and Evaluation of Resource-Exhausted Cities in Ecologically Fragile Areas Under Different Development Scenarios

作者：Jiang, Simin[1] Feng, Fei[1] Zhang, Xinna[1] Xu, Chengyang[1] Jia, Baoquan[2] Lafortezza, Raffaele[1,3]

第一作者：Jiang, Simin

机构：[1] Research Centre of Urban Forestry, Key Laboratory for Silviculture and Forest Ecosystem of State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, 100083, China; [2] Research Institute of Forestry, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing, 100091, China; [3] Department of Soil, Plant and Food Sciences, University of Bari Aldo Moro, Via Amendola 165/A, Bari, 70126, Italy

年份：2023

外文期刊名：SSRN

收录：EI(收录号：20240002203)

语种：英文

外文关键词：Economic and social effects - Economics - Ecosystems - Multiobjective optimization - Sustainable development

摘要：Many cities are currently grappling with the challenge of ecological transformation, especially those categorized as resource-exhausted cities. In these urban areas, land use change is a highly scrutinized issue, as different land use strategies can lead to varied outcomes, impacting the ecological environment in multiple dimensions. Assessing ecosystem health wide-ranging reflects the quality of the regional ecological environment and serves as a comprehensive indicator for evaluating the sustainability and stability of urban ecosystems. To this end, a multi-objective optimization model was constructed to predict land use changes under different development scenarios, using Shizuishan City (China), a resource-exhausted city situated in an ecologically fragile area, as an example. The "vigor-organization-resilience" assessment framework was employed to evaluate the ecosystem health conditions in each scenario from the three dimensions of vigor, organization, and resilience. The study results indicate that: (1) From 2022 to 2032, the main land use types in Shizuishan City are grassland, cropland, and built-up land, leading to an overall modest level of ecosystem health. (2) The ranking of the average ecosystem health level in Shizuishan City from 2022 to 2032 is as follows: Low-Carbon Economic Development Scenario > Eco-Economic Coordinated Development Scenario > Baseline Scenario > Economic Development Scenario > 2022. (3) In the period from 2022 to 2032, areas with lower levels of ecosystem health in Shizuishan City are predominantly distributed in land uses heavily impacted by intensive human activity, particularly built-up land and cropland, followed by grassland. ? 2023, The Authors. All rights reserved.