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来自越南的冲击——中越木质板材出口贸易竞争力与潜力比较    

The Shock from Vietnam:A Comparative Study of International Competitiveness and Potential in Wood-based Panels Export Trade Between China and Vietnam

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:来自越南的冲击——中越木质板材出口贸易竞争力与潜力比较

英文题名:The Shock from Vietnam:A Comparative Study of International Competitiveness and Potential in Wood-based Panels Export Trade Between China and Vietnam

作者:王兰会[1] 丁清旻[1] 高丽媛[1] 胡延杰[2]

第一作者:王兰会

机构:[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083;[2]中国林业科学研究院林业科技信息研究所,北京100091

年份:2023

卷号:36

期号:5

起止页码:132-137

中文期刊名:世界林业研究

外文期刊名:World Forestry Research

收录:北大核心:【北大核心2020】;CSCD:【CSCD2023_2024】;

基金:国家林草局发展研究中心委托项目“一带一路建设背景下澜湄流域森林可持续经营与社区生计研究”(JYC-2022-0046)。

语种:中文

中文关键词:木质板材;国际竞争力;贸易潜力;中国;越南

外文关键词:wood-based panel;international competitiveness;trade potential;China;Vietnam

分类号:F746.224;F762.4

摘要:木质板材是全球林产品贸易的主要产品之一,中国木质板材出口额已持续多年居世界第1。近年来,越南木质板材出口贸易发展非常迅速,对中国板材出口造成了相当大的冲击。文中利用2002—2021年数据计算中国和越南木质板材出口显示性比较优势指数和相似度指数,对比二者的出口竞争力;通过随机前沿引力模型分析中国板材出口贸易影响因素,测算并比较中越板材出口贸易潜力。结果表明:中越板材出口在市场结构和产品结构上存在竞争,越南板材出口持续挤压中国的市场份额;贸易双方的经济规模、市场需求以及出口目的地的板材产量对于板材出口贸易增长存在影响,关税等因素影响着板材出口贸易的效率。
Wood-based panel(WBP)is one of the main forest products in global trade,and China has been ranking the first for many years in WBP export value.In recent years,Vietnam's wood-based panel export has increased dramatically,which imposes large impact on the export of China.Based on the export trade data from 2002 to 2021,this paper calculates WBPs'relative competition advantage index and export similarity index and compares the trade competitiveness between China and Vietnam.The stochastic frontier gravity model is used to determine the factors affecting WBPs export trade and to calculate and compare the WBPs trade potential of China and Vietnam.The results show there is fierce competition between China and Vietnam in market structure and product structure in terms of WBPs export trade,while Vietnam has been grabbing market share from China.The economic scale and the market demand of both sides as well as the output of the destination countries impact the growth of the WBPs export trade.Tariff and other factors affect the efficiency of the WBPs export trade.

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