文献类型：期刊文献

英文题名：How Did the Risk of Poverty-Stricken Population Return to Poverty in the Karst Ecologically Fragile Areas Come into Being?-Evidence from China

作者：Li, He[1] Liu, Yefei[1] Zhao, Rong[1] Zhang, Xiaofang[2] Zhang, Zhaonian[3]

第一作者：李慧

通信作者：Zhao, R[1]

机构：[1]Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forestry Policy & Informat, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;[2]Chinese Acad Forestry, Res Inst Forest Resource Informat Tech, Beijing 100091, Peoples R China;[3]Univ Lancaster, Comp & Commun Dept, Lancaster LA1 4YX, England

年份：2022

卷号：11

期号：10

外文期刊名：LAND

收录：;Scopus(收录号：2-s2.0-85140873354);WOS:【SSCI(收录号:WOS:000874310100001)】；

基金：This research was funded by the National Social Science Foundation of China "Research on the Risk and Prevention of a Large-scale Reemergence of Poverty in Ecologically Fragile Ethnic Areas"(22BGL313).

语种：英文

外文关键词：returning to poverty; eco-fragile area; Karst; decision tree; logistic regression

摘要：Eliminating poverty is the primary goal of sustainable development. China has eliminated absolute poverty in 2020, yet there is a chance that it could happen again. The poor population is mostly concentrated in ecologically fragile areas. We need to take more inclusive and effective initiatives to prevent the population in ecologically fragile areas from returning to poverty. In this study, a decision tree and logistic regression model were used to assess the risk of returning to poverty in Karst ecologically fragile areas. The data comes from 303 households in four counties in Guizhou and Guangxi. There are 12 main influencing factors identified, with the percentage of workforce numbers and loans having interactive effects. The results show that: (1) Poor resilience of livelihood assets, external shocks, and the effects of some support measures will be visible after a long period, leading to "transient" poverty and return to poverty. (2) Ecological environment management in ecologically fragile areas is very important to solve the problem of returning to poverty. (3) Appropriate loans can reduce poverty, especially when loans are used to cultivate a new excellent labor force. At the same time, it is necessary to evaluate farmers' repayment ability reasonably and scientifically to reduce the risk of returning to poverty. The combination of ecological restoration and agricultural development is the key to solving ecological and social problems in Karst areas. Efforts should be made to improve the risk-resilience of farmers' livelihood assets and the efficiency of livelihood assets utilization by implementing targeted support measures. This research provides a new approach to studying the mechanism of poverty recurrence, which is of great practical significance for consolidating the results of poverty eradication and realizing rural vitalization.